Why New Jersey’s erroneous noncitizen enrollment is far from proof of election fraud
The News
New Jersey Governor Mikie Sherrill announced that 6,600 noncitizens had registered to vote due to a software error, with fewer than 400 actually voting. Donald Trump and his allies used this disclosure to amplify claims of widespread noncitizen voting, referencing Trump's earlier assertion that DHS identified 278,000 noncitizens on voter rolls in four states. However, a Guardian review of DHS letters indicates the agency is less certain about that number and has not provided its methodology. This continues the ongoing debate over election integrity and voter fraud allegations.
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The Analysis
Intelligence Brief
Analyzed
New Jersey Governor Mikie Sherrill announced that 6,600 noncitizens had registered to vote due to a software error, with fewer than 400 actually voting. Donald Trump and his allies used this disclosure to amplify claims of widespread noncitizen voting, referencing Trump's earlier assertion that DHS identified 278,000 noncitizens on voter rolls in four states. However, a Guardian review of DHS letters indicates the agency is less certain about that number and has not provided its methodology. Th...
Republicans and Trump seized on the New Jersey announcement to escalate false claims of noncitizen voting.
Fewer than 400 of those noncitizens actually voted.
3 claims still need verification.
No forecast extracted yet.
3 unresolved.
Key findings
Experts say DHS’s data is designed to create a false argument.
Opinion- Republicans and Trump seized on the New Jersey announcement to escalate false claims of noncitizen voting.
- Trump cited DHS data of 278,000 noncitizens across four states, but DHS expressed less certainty about the number.
Plain English
Loaded language removed<p>Republicans have latched on to the announcement after Trump’s lie-laden speech, but experts say DHS’s data is ‘designed to create a false argument’</p><p>Donald Trump and his allies <a href="https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/holy-sh-t-maga-hits-212732155.html?guccounter=1 guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8…
Emotionally neutral rewrite. Same facts, calmer framing.
What's next
This angle has contested claims
Claims
Experts say DHS’s data is designed to create a false argument.
Opinion6,600 noncitizens had registered to vote because of a software error.
The GuardianFewer than 400 of those noncitizens actually voted.
The Guardian